Who wins more faceoffs, Nathan MacKinnon or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Nathan MacKinnon leads the head-to-head 4-1 across 5 faceoffs.

What is Nathan MacKinnon's faceoff record against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Nathan MacKinnon is 4-1 against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-1, Defensive 1-0, Neutral 1-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Nathan MacKinnon or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 58.7% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Nathan MacKinnonR vs Ryan Nugent-HopkinsL

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 51.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+3.4%)

H2H factor Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone MacKinnon 65.0%

Defensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 54.3%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 52.9%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.7%

58.7%

41.3%

MacKinnon Nugent-Hopkins

Head-to-Head Record

4 - 1 (5 meetings)

MacKinnon Nugent-Hopkins

Last 5: MacKinnon 4-1 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

MacKinnon Nugent-Hopkins

3 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

MacKinnon Nugent-Hopkins

1 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

MacKinnon Nugent-Hopkins

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

MacKinnon

Nugent-Hopkins

Edge

Even Strength

50.0% (992)

47.6% (231)

+2.4%

Power Play

64.9% (148)

83.3% (12)

-18.4%

Penalty Kill

34.4% (32)

33.3% (21)

+1.1%

On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +18.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).

MacKinnon shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).

Home / Away

MacKinnon

Nugent-Hopkins

Home

53.3% (591)

51.2% (164)

Away

49.6% (581)

43.0% (100)

By Period

MacKinnon

Nugent-Hopkins

49.9%

50.0%

53.2%

46.2%

50.8%

49.5%

66.7%

0.0%

Final 5 min

56.1%

44.8%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

MacKinnon

48.0%▼

54.0%

51.5%

Nugent-Hopkins

58.0%▲

50.0%

48.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 10, 2026	2	07:47	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 10, 2026	1	12:37	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Nov 8, 2025	3	00:00	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 8, 2025	1	18:09	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 8, 2025	1	14:32	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon

MacKinnon's Profile | Nugent-Hopkins's Profile