Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 50.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (825)
48.1% (185)
+1.0%
Power Play
65.4% (130)
100.0% (2)
-34.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
29.4% (17)
+5.1%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (716).
MacKinnon shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.6% (489)
49.2% (128)
Away
49.1% (495)
43.4% (76)
By Period
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.3%
51.4%
P2
52.6%
41.9%
P3
49.2%
49.2%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |