Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 45.2%). MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
45.4% (527)
-0.7%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
41.2% (17)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
44.9% (138)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.4% (553)
46.1% (336)
Away
40.0% (615)
44.2% (346)
By Period
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.3%
49.1%
P2
42.7%
45.3%
P3
45.1%
42.0%
OT
46.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |