Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Poehling
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Poehling 47.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 59.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 52.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 61.5%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
MacKinnon
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
MacKinnon
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
45.1% (437)
+0.7%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
56.4% (39)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
61.5% (13)
-33.9%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Poehling is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Poehling
Home
49.5% (396)
46.6% (232)
Away
41.7% (448)
46.3% (257)
By Period
MacKinnon
Poehling
P1
50.2%
43.9%
P2
43.8%
49.1%
P3
41.4%
46.4%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |