Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Poehling
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Poehling 50.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 58.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 90.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 70.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
MacKinnon
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
MacKinnon
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
0
MacKinnon
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
52.6% (622)
-3.4%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
58.3% (12)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
39.8% (103)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Poehling is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Poehling
Home
50.9% (740)
53.2% (393)
Away
49.0% (774)
48.3% (344)
By Period
MacKinnon
Poehling
P1
50.9%
50.9%
P2
51.8%
56.2%
P3
47.1%
46.1%
OT
58.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |