Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Poehling
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Poehling 49.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 53.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
MacKinnon
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
MacKinnon
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
MacKinnon
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
50.4% (752)
-4.9%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
37.0% (27)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
45.3% (159)
-5.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Poehling
Home
47.8% (670)
51.2% (467)
Away
44.6% (644)
47.1% (471)
By Period
MacKinnon
Poehling
P1
45.3%
54.6%
P2
48.5%
46.7%
P3
45.0%
46.7%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |