Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Wright 45.8% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 65.8%
Neutral zone
Wright 51.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
MacKinnon
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
MacKinnon
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
32.3% (31)
+12.4%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
MacKinnon shoots right. Wright is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Wright
Home
49.4% (553)
38.5% (13)
Away
40.0% (615)
27.8% (18)
By Period
MacKinnon
Wright
P1
45.3%
40.0%
P2
42.7%
37.5%
P3
45.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
32.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |