Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Wright 50.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 60.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 64.8%
Neutral zone
Wright 59.4%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
MacKinnon
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
MacKinnon
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
52.6% (76)
-7.1%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
20.0% (5)
+36.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Wright is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Wright
Home
47.8% (670)
58.5% (41)
Away
44.6% (644)
42.5% (40)
By Period
MacKinnon
Wright
P1
45.3%
50.0%
P2
48.5%
46.2%
P3
45.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |