Nathan MacKinnon vs Sidney Crosby
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 43 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Crosby 53.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 109-59 in 168 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 96.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 92.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 94.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
MacKinnon
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
59
-
109
(168 meetings)
59
109
MacKinnon
Crosby
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
36
MacKinnon
Crosby
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
17
21
MacKinnon
Crosby
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
35
52
MacKinnon
Crosby
87 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
52.8% (17,990)
-6.7%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
57.4% (4,733)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
47.1% (765)
-4.3%
On even strength, Crosby has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Crosby
Home
49.7% (6,444)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
MacKinnon
Crosby
P1
47.4%
53.6%
P2
46.6%
53.9%
P3
46.1%
53.3%
OT
48.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |