Nathan MacKinnon vs Sidney Crosby
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Crosby 56.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 21-8 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 90.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 83.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 82.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
MacKinnon
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
21
(29 meetings)
8
21
MacKinnon
Crosby
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
9
MacKinnon
Crosby
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
4
MacKinnon
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
8
MacKinnon
Crosby
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
56.2% (1,451)
-7.0%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
61.4% (293)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
55.3% (38)
-6.2%
On even strength, Crosby has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Crosby
Home
50.9% (740)
59.1% (939)
Away
49.0% (774)
54.7% (843)
By Period
MacKinnon
Crosby
P1
50.9%
54.9%
P2
51.8%
60.8%
P3
47.1%
55.4%
OT
58.8%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |