Nathan MacKinnon vs Sidney Crosby
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Crosby 57.8% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 93.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 68.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 86.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 83.6%
16.4%
83.6%
MacKinnon
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
MacKinnon
Crosby
Last 10: MacKinnon 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
MacKinnon
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
3
MacKinnon
Crosby
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
57.8% (1,437)
-12.3%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
60.9% (381)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
50.0% (54)
-10.0%
On even strength, Crosby has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Crosby
Home
47.8% (670)
59.2% (985)
Away
44.6% (644)
57.2% (887)
By Period
MacKinnon
Crosby
P1
45.3%
57.3%
P2
48.5%
59.5%
P3
45.0%
58.5%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |