Nathan MacKinnon vs Sidney Crosby
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.3% vs Crosby 55.5% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Crosby 65.0%
Defensive zone
Crosby 51.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 58.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
MacKinnon
Crosby
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (992)
53.7% (984)
-3.7%
Power Play
64.9% (148)
64.7% (241)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
64.3% (14)
-29.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
MacKinnon shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Crosby
Home
53.3% (591)
56.9% (649)
Away
49.6% (581)
54.9% (590)
By Period
MacKinnon
Crosby
P1
49.9%
55.8%
P2
53.2%
53.2%
P3
50.8%
58.7%
OT
66.7%
54.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%