Nathan MacKinnon vs Sidney Crosby
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Crosby 52.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 81.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 93.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 85.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
MacKinnon
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
MacKinnon
Crosby
Last 10: MacKinnon 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
MacKinnon
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
MacKinnon
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
5
MacKinnon
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
52.5% (1,443)
-7.8%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
54.7% (369)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
55.9% (34)
+9.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Crosby
Home
49.4% (553)
53.0% (931)
Away
40.0% (615)
53.0% (915)
By Period
MacKinnon
Crosby
P1
45.3%
50.3%
P2
42.7%
55.4%
P3
45.1%
53.3%
OT
46.2%
47.4%
Final 5 min
49.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |