Nathan MacKinnon vs Sidney Crosby
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 48.6% vs Crosby 51.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 77.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 79.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 79.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
MacKinnon
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
14
(17 meetings)
3
14
MacKinnon
Crosby
Last 10: MacKinnon 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
MacKinnon
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
MacKinnon
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
6
MacKinnon
Crosby
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (849)
51.9% (1,456)
-3.7%
Power Play
51.0% (151)
52.8% (392)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
39.0% (59)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
MacKinnon shoots right. Crosby is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Crosby
Home
51.2% (521)
52.4% (976)
Away
45.6% (526)
51.0% (931)
By Period
MacKinnon
Crosby
P1
49.9%
51.6%
P2
48.0%
53.1%
P3
47.9%
51.0%
OT
25.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2015 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |