Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.4% vs 45.3%). Look for Boyd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Boyd 45.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
MacKinnon
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
MacKinnon
Boyd
Last 9: MacKinnon 2-7 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Boyd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
4
MacKinnon
Boyd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
MacKinnon
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
45.9% (784)
-0.1%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
43.2% (81)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
40.3% (62)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Boyd has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Boyd is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Boyd
Home
49.5% (396)
45.1% (501)
Away
41.7% (448)
45.5% (426)
By Period
MacKinnon
Boyd
P1
50.2%
45.9%
P2
43.8%
44.6%
P3
41.4%
45.8%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.0%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |