Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Boyd 43.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.4%
Defensive zone
Boyd 56.0%
Neutral zone
Boyd 54.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
MacKinnon
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
MacKinnon
Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
2
MacKinnon
Boyd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
43.4% (893)
+1.3%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
51.5% (136)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
34.6% (127)
+30.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
MacKinnon shoots right. Boyd is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Boyd
Home
49.4% (553)
46.0% (570)
Away
40.0% (615)
41.0% (586)
By Period
MacKinnon
Boyd
P1
45.3%
38.9%
P2
42.7%
50.4%
P3
45.1%
41.1%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |