Nathan MacKinnon vs Travis Boyd
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Boyd 44.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Boyd leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyd 62.6%
Defensive zone
Boyd 65.9%
Neutral zone
Boyd 66.4%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
MacKinnon
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
MacKinnon
Boyd
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
4
MacKinnon
Boyd
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
6
MacKinnon
Boyd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
4
MacKinnon
Boyd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
44.4% (2,186)
+1.7%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
46.5% (256)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
35.6% (208)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Boyd is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Boyd
Home
49.7% (6,444)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
MacKinnon
Boyd
P1
47.4%
41.7%
P2
46.6%
46.2%
P3
46.1%
44.0%
OT
48.4%
22.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |