Scouting Report
Travis Boyd holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Boyd 51.0% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.5%
Defensive zone
Boyd 56.0%
Neutral zone
Boyd 58.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
MacKinnon
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
MacKinnon
Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Boyd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
MacKinnon
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
52.4% (42)
-6.9%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
100.0% (1)
-43.6%
On power play, Boyd has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Boyd is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Boyd
Home
47.8% (670)
60.0% (25)
Away
44.6% (644)
44.4% (18)
By Period
MacKinnon
Boyd
P1
45.3%
42.9%
P2
48.5%
75.0%
P3
45.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |