Nathan MacKinnon vs Trent Frederic
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Frederic 45.0% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.3%
Neutral zone
Frederic 50.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
MacKinnon
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
MacKinnon
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
2
MacKinnon
Frederic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
39.8% (88)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
0.0% (1)
+27.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Frederic is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Frederic
Home
49.5% (396)
37.8% (45)
Away
41.7% (448)
40.9% (44)
By Period
MacKinnon
Frederic
P1
50.2%
32.4%
P2
43.8%
45.9%
P3
41.4%
38.9%
Final 5 min
41.0%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |