Nathan MacKinnon vs Trent Frederic
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Frederic 43.0% (+11.1%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 58.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
MacKinnon
Frederic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
31.9% (69)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
66.7% (3)
-1.7%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Frederic is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Frederic
Home
49.4% (553)
42.1% (19)
Away
40.0% (615)
30.2% (53)
By Period
MacKinnon
Frederic
P1
45.3%
32.1%
P2
42.7%
35.0%
P3
45.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
31.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
33.3%