Nathan MacKinnon vs Trent Frederic
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 45.4%). MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Frederic 46.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 62.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 53.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
MacKinnon
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
MacKinnon
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
MacKinnon
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
45.8% (262)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
57.1% (7)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
36.4% (22)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Frederic is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Frederic
Home
47.8% (670)
44.1% (152)
Away
44.6% (644)
46.8% (139)
By Period
MacKinnon
Frederic
P1
45.3%
41.7%
P2
48.5%
48.9%
P3
45.0%
45.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |