Nathan MacKinnon vs Trent Frederic
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Frederic 45.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.6%
Defensive zone
Frederic 54.7%
Neutral zone
Frederic 55.7%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
MacKinnon
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
MacKinnon
Frederic
Last 6: MacKinnon 3-3 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Frederic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
2
MacKinnon
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Frederic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
42.6% (195)
+6.6%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
64.3% (14)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
25.0% (4)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Frederic is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Frederic
Home
50.9% (740)
48.6% (107)
Away
49.0% (774)
38.7% (106)
By Period
MacKinnon
Frederic
P1
50.9%
37.5%
P2
51.8%
44.8%
P3
47.1%
49.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |