Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 43.8% vs Seguin 57.4% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 76.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 83.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 85.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
MacKinnon
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
MacKinnon
Seguin
Last 10: MacKinnon 2-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
MacKinnon
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
MacKinnon
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
MacKinnon
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (743)
59.6% (736)
-15.2%
Power Play
35.7% (70)
61.5% (65)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
47.6% (124)
-21.7%
On power play, Seguin has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. MacKinnon is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (194).
MacKinnon shoots right. Seguin is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Seguin
Home
46.4% (394)
60.1% (461)
Away
40.1% (446)
56.3% (464)
By Period
MacKinnon
Seguin
P1
44.4%
59.1%
P2
38.2%
58.9%
P3
46.4%
57.3%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |