Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
MacKinnon
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
MacKinnon
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
MacKinnon
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
56.9% (478)
-11.4%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
57.4% (54)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
51.3% (76)
-11.3%
On even strength, Seguin has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Seguin
Home
47.8% (670)
57.4% (317)
Away
44.6% (644)
55.0% (291)
By Period
MacKinnon
Seguin
P1
45.3%
50.3%
P2
48.5%
60.4%
P3
45.0%
58.0%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |