Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Seguin 51.8% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 60.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 56.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
MacKinnon
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
54.8% (135)
-5.6%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
58.3% (24)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
26.7% (15)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
MacKinnon shoots right. Seguin is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Seguin
Home
50.9% (740)
47.4% (95)
Away
49.0% (774)
59.5% (79)
By Period
MacKinnon
Seguin
P1
50.9%
50.8%
P2
51.8%
57.1%
P3
47.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%