Nathan MacKinnon vs Tyler Seguin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Seguin 53.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 44-29 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 70.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 87.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 85.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
MacKinnon
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
44
(73 meetings)
29
44
MacKinnon
Seguin
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
13
MacKinnon
Seguin
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
8
10
MacKinnon
Seguin
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
16
21
MacKinnon
Seguin
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
53.7% (8,071)
-7.6%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
55.9% (810)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
49.3% (762)
-6.5%
On even strength, Seguin has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Seguin
Home
49.7% (6,444)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
MacKinnon
Seguin
P1
47.4%
52.8%
P2
46.6%
53.3%
P3
46.1%
54.7%
OT
48.4%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |