Nathan MacKinnon vs Vladislav Namestnikov
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 50.7% vs Namestnikov 43.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Namestnikov 53.5%
Defensive zone
Namestnikov 50.2%
Neutral zone
Namestnikov 52.7%
Result
Vladislav Namestnikov favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Namestnikov
0
1
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (825)
39.9% (178)
+9.2%
Power Play
65.4% (130)
53.8% (13)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
30.0% (10)
+4.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Namestnikov shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (716).
MacKinnon shoots right. Namestnikov is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Home
52.6% (489)
43.1% (116)
Away
49.1% (495)
36.5% (85)
By Period
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
P1
50.3%
47.4%
P2
52.6%
31.0%
P3
49.2%
42.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%
Namestnikov
38.0%▼
40.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |