Nathan MacKinnon vs Vladislav Namestnikov

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Namestnikov on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Namestnikov shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 44.9% vs Namestnikov 41.6% (+6.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone MacKinnon 53.7%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 73.2%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 57.0%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
MacKinnon Namestnikov
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 3 (7 meetings)
4
3
MacKinnon Namestnikov
Last 7: MacKinnon 4-3 Namestnikov

Zone Breakdown

Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon Namestnikov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Namestnikov
2
3
MacKinnon Namestnikov
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
38.3% (193)
+6.4%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
0.0% (6)
+36.8%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
50.0% (6)
+15.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +36.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Namestnikov shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Namestnikov is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Home
49.4% (553)
39.3% (107)
Away
40.0% (615)
35.7% (98)
By Period
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
P1
45.3%
37.5%
P2
42.7%
30.0%
P3
45.1%
44.4%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
31.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
44.4%
Namestnikov
38.0%
40.0%
37.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 13, 2023 3 14:22 Neutral Vladislav Namestnikov
Apr 13, 2023 3 06:43 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 13, 2023 3 03:01 Neutral Vladislav Namestnikov
Apr 13, 2023 3 00:27 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 13, 2023 2 14:21 Neutral Vladislav Namestnikov
Apr 13, 2023 1 14:37 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 13, 2023 1 11:13 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon