Nathan MacKinnon vs Vladislav Namestnikov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Namestnikov on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Namestnikov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.7% vs Namestnikov 43.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Namestnikov leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Namestnikov 76.7%
Defensive zone
Namestnikov 61.3%
Neutral zone
Namestnikov 63.9%
Result
Vladislav Namestnikov favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Namestnikov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Namestnikov
1
3
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Namestnikov
4
5
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (11,051)
42.4% (3,320)
+3.6%
Power Play
53.2% (1,394)
48.0% (394)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (499)
40.9% (137)
+2.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Namestnikov shoots left. MacKinnon is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,367).
MacKinnon shoots right. Namestnikov is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,401).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Home
49.6% (6,342)
43.2% (1,784)
Away
43.9% (6,603)
42.7% (2,067)
By Period
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
P1
47.4%
44.9%
P2
46.5%
40.3%
P3
45.9%
43.6%
OT
47.7%
29.2%
Final 5 min
48.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.7%
Namestnikov
38.0%▼
40.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Vladislav Namestnikov |