Nathan MacKinnon vs Vladislav Namestnikov
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Namestnikov 46.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Namestnikov 75.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 50.6%
Neutral zone
Namestnikov 59.4%
Result
Vladislav Namestnikov favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Namestnikov
0
1
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Namestnikov
0
1
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
45.3% (730)
+3.9%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
54.9% (51)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
60.0% (10)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Namestnikov has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Namestnikov shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Namestnikov is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Home
50.9% (740)
46.1% (369)
Away
49.0% (774)
46.2% (422)
By Period
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
P1
50.9%
48.4%
P2
51.8%
45.8%
P3
47.1%
44.4%
OT
58.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.9%
Namestnikov
38.0%▼
40.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Vladislav Namestnikov |