Nathan MacKinnon vs Vladislav Namestnikov
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Namestnikov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.3% vs Namestnikov 43.1% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Namestnikov 54.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 50.4%
Neutral zone
Namestnikov 51.0%
Result
Vladislav Namestnikov favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Namestnikov
0
1
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (992)
39.3% (183)
+10.7%
Power Play
64.9% (148)
53.8% (13)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
30.0% (10)
+4.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Namestnikov shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
MacKinnon shoots right. Namestnikov is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Home
53.3% (591)
42.4% (118)
Away
49.6% (581)
36.4% (88)
By Period
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
P1
49.9%
46.3%
P2
53.2%
30.6%
P3
50.8%
42.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Namestnikov
38.0%▼
40.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |