Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Sturm 56.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 26-15 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 90.5%
Defensive zone
Kadri 65.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 82.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Kadri
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
26
(41 meetings)
15
26
Kadri
Sturm
Last 10: Kadri 3-7 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
9
4
Kadri
Sturm
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
10
Kadri
Sturm
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
4
12
Kadri
Sturm
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
57.1% (2,719)
-8.9%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
61.3% (62)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
51.0% (498)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Kadri
Sturm
Home
49.1% (7,467)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Kadri
Sturm
P1
49.2%
56.5%
P2
48.8%
54.9%
P3
48.0%
57.4%
OT
49.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 9, 2024 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |