Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Sturm 57.1% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 88.7%
Defensive zone
Kadri 52.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 74.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Kadri
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kadri
Sturm
Last 7: Kadri 2-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Kadri
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
3
Kadri
Sturm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
62.1% (356)
-16.4%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
75.0% (4)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
38.7% (62)
-3.9%
On power play, Sturm has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Kadri
Sturm
Home
46.5% (725)
61.8% (191)
Away
46.0% (739)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Kadri
Sturm
P1
47.2%
58.0%
P2
44.9%
57.9%
P3
46.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |