Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Sturm 59.0% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 94.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 69.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 80.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Kadri
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kadri
Sturm
Last 8: Kadri 1-7 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Kadri
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
3
Kadri
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Kadri
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
60.6% (708)
-12.9%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
61.1% (18)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
56.4% (101)
-0.8%
On even strength, Sturm has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Kadri
Sturm
Home
48.3% (621)
61.6% (451)
Away
49.6% (589)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Kadri
Sturm
P1
48.1%
55.9%
P2
48.9%
58.9%
P3
49.8%
64.6%
OT
50.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 9, 2024 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |