Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Sturm 55.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 73.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 87.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 63.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Kadri
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Kadri
Sturm
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
7
1
Kadri
Sturm
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
3
Kadri
Sturm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
4
Kadri
Sturm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
56.1% (716)
-9.9%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
67.7% (31)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
51.1% (133)
-24.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Kadri
Sturm
Home
47.4% (641)
55.6% (412)
Away
47.6% (593)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Kadri
Sturm
P1
46.9%
59.6%
P2
49.5%
52.0%
P3
46.2%
55.5%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |