Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Cates 40.4% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 94.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 61.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 81.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Kadri
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Kadri
Cates
Last 9: Kadri 7-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kadri
Cates
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
40.4% (841)
+5.8%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
42.4% (66)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
32.7% (147)
-6.0%
On power play, Kadri has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Kadri
Cates
Home
47.4% (641)
38.2% (566)
Away
47.6% (593)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Kadri
Cates
P1
46.9%
40.5%
P2
49.5%
42.4%
P3
46.2%
35.3%
OT
42.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:51 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |