Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.7% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 80.3%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 71.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.5%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Kadri
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Kadri
Carpenter
Last 10: Kadri 4-6 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Carpenter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
5
Kadri
Carpenter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (849)
53.2% (299)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.6% (235)
33.3% (3)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (93)
46.5% (86)
-3.5%
On power play, Kadri has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Kadri is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Kadri shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Kadri
Carpenter
Home
48.5% (557)
54.6% (207)
Away
50.8% (620)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Kadri
Carpenter
P1
49.5%
52.3%
P2
51.3%
51.5%
P3
47.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |