Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.4%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 75.3%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 72.2%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 54.3%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Kadri
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
17
(33 meetings)
16
17
Kadri
Carpenter
Last 10: Kadri 2-8 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
12
1
Kadri
Carpenter
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
3
12
Kadri
Carpenter
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
4
Kadri
Carpenter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
49.6% (2,027)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
41.5% (41)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
43.9% (467)
-2.9%
On power play, Kadri has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Kadri
Carpenter
Home
49.1% (7,467)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Kadri
Carpenter
P1
49.2%
49.6%
P2
48.8%
47.7%
P3
48.0%
48.0%
OT
49.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |