Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Kadri 71.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 69.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Kadri
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
53.1% (113)
-6.9%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
100.0% (1)
-42.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
60.0% (10)
-33.3%
On power play, Carpenter has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Kadri shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Kadri
Carpenter
Home
47.4% (641)
58.5% (65)
Away
47.6% (593)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Kadri
Carpenter
P1
46.9%
65.8%
P2
49.5%
50.0%
P3
46.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%