Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 48.2%). Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs McLeod 48.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 68.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 65.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Kadri
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kadri
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Kadri
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
49.0% (500)
-2.8%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
43.8% (48)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
44.0% (50)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Kadri
McLeod
Home
47.4% (641)
50.9% (291)
Away
47.6% (593)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Kadri
McLeod
P1
46.9%
44.3%
P2
49.5%
52.4%
P3
46.2%
47.8%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |