Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 20 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs McLeod 49.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 22-13 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 59.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 54.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Kadri
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
22
(35 meetings)
13
22
Kadri
McLeod
Last 10: Kadri 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
5
Kadri
McLeod
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
5
Kadri
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
8
12
Kadri
McLeod
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
50.4% (3,345)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
51.0% (292)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
44.3% (635)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Kadri
McLeod
Home
49.1% (7,467)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Kadri
McLeod
P1
49.2%
50.8%
P2
48.8%
48.4%
P3
48.0%
50.0%
OT
49.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
48.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |