Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 47.6%). Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs McLeod 47.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 75.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 70.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 56.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Kadri
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kadri
McLeod
Last 9: Kadri 3-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Kadri
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Kadri
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
49.2% (796)
-1.8%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
44.8% (87)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
43.3% (263)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Kadri
McLeod
Home
46.6% (487)
49.2% (575)
Away
48.3% (433)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Kadri
McLeod
P1
52.7%
52.8%
P2
50.2%
45.1%
P3
40.2%
45.6%
OT
44.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |