Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs McLeod 52.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 93.9%
Defensive zone
Kadri 67.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 79.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Kadri
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Kadri
McLeod
Last 8: Kadri 0-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Kadri
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Kadri
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Kadri
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
52.9% (904)
-7.2%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
57.6% (59)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
49.0% (241)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Kadri
McLeod
Home
46.5% (725)
51.8% (612)
Away
46.0% (739)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Kadri
McLeod
P1
47.2%
55.4%
P2
44.9%
50.8%
P3
46.3%
51.6%
OT
51.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |