Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 77.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 80.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 77.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 77.7%
22.3%
77.7%
Kadri
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kadri
O'Reilly
Last 6: Kadri 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kadri
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (1,015)
52.7% (900)
-5.5%
Power Play
41.1% (112)
55.6% (225)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
54.5% (209)
-36.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kadri is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Kadri shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Kadri
O'Reilly
Home
45.4% (573)
55.1% (693)
Away
46.9% (571)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Kadri
O'Reilly
P1
48.9%
51.5%
P2
45.2%
54.7%
P3
43.4%
52.7%
OT
61.1%
69.7%
Final 5 min
44.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |