Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 61.3%
Defensive zone
Kadri 60.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 60.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Kadri
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Kadri
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kadri 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Kadri
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Kadri
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Kadri
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
56.2% (983)
-10.5%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
55.5% (254)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
52.0% (102)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Kadri
O'Reilly
Home
46.5% (725)
56.2% (697)
Away
46.0% (739)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Kadri
O'Reilly
P1
47.2%
54.5%
P2
44.9%
55.5%
P3
46.3%
57.1%
OT
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |