Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.7%
Defensive zone
Kadri 56.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Kadri
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kadri
O'Reilly
Last 9: Kadri 4-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Kadri
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
55.0% (1,084)
-7.3%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
56.8% (303)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
40.3% (149)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Kadri
O'Reilly
Home
48.3% (621)
54.8% (759)
Away
49.6% (589)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Kadri
O'Reilly
P1
48.1%
55.3%
P2
48.9%
51.9%
P3
49.8%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |