Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.7% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 76.8%
Defensive zone
Kadri 56.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 67.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Kadri
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Kadri
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kadri 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
0
Kadri
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Kadri
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Kadri
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (849)
56.6% (1,064)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.6% (235)
60.4% (260)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (93)
54.0% (261)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Kadri shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Kadri
O'Reilly
Home
48.5% (557)
54.9% (801)
Away
50.8% (620)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Kadri
O'Reilly
P1
49.5%
58.0%
P2
51.3%
56.7%
P3
47.8%
55.4%
OT
63.2%
64.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |