Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 52.4% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 82.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 70.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Kadri
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Kadri
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kadri 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kadri
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
2
Kadri
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Kadri
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (586)
58.6% (841)
-6.4%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
59.9% (207)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
58.1% (148)
+4.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kadri is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (458).
Kadri shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Kadri
O'Reilly
Home
52.7% (412)
59.8% (594)
Away
52.9% (331)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Kadri
O'Reilly
P1
52.8%
61.7%
P2
51.3%
56.2%
P3
54.2%
59.5%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
52.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |