Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Steel 48.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 59.7%
Defensive zone
Steel 60.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Kadri
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kadri
Steel
Last 5: Kadri 3-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
49.5% (553)
-3.3%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
61.3% (31)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
30.6% (49)
-3.9%
On power play, Steel has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Kadri
Steel
Home
47.4% (641)
46.4% (347)
Away
47.6% (593)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Kadri
Steel
P1
46.9%
52.1%
P2
49.5%
49.8%
P3
46.2%
45.2%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Sam Steel |