Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Steel 50.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 59.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 70.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Kadri
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kadri
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Kadri
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
52.5% (200)
-5.1%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
71.4% (7)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
40.0% (45)
-1.5%
On power play, Steel has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Kadri
Steel
Home
46.6% (487)
49.5% (109)
Away
48.3% (433)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Kadri
Steel
P1
52.7%
49.5%
P2
50.2%
47.5%
P3
40.2%
56.6%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Sam Steel |