Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 59.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 54.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Kadri
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
15
(28 meetings)
13
15
Kadri
Steel
Last 10: Kadri 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
8
3
Kadri
Steel
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
7
Kadri
Steel
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
4
5
Kadri
Steel
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
50.6% (2,876)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
62.6% (179)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
37.4% (254)
+3.6%
On power play, Steel has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Kadri
Steel
Home
49.1% (7,467)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Kadri
Steel
P1
49.2%
51.9%
P2
48.8%
49.5%
P3
48.0%
49.6%
OT
49.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:21 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | Sam Steel |